Stocks Mixed After GDP, Jobless Claims (2024)

The Dow Jones Industrial Average reversed higher Thursday, as Wall Street reacted to the Labor Department's GDP report and weekly unemployment claims. One of the losers on the stock market today was memory-chip maker Micron Technology (MU), plunging a day after it reported earnings.

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After the opening bell, the Dow Jones Industrial Average inched higher, while the S&P 500 gained 0.1%. The tech-focused Nasdaq composite climbed 0.3% in morning trades.

Early Thursday, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.32%. Oil prices extended their recent gains, with West Texas Intermediate futures trading around $81.50 a barrel.

Among U.S. exchange traded funds, the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) both were up about 0.2% after the open.

Stock Market Today

Early Thursday, the Labor Department's third estimate of second-quarter GDP rose to 1.4%, in line with expectations, vs. 1.3% in the second estimate. Meanwhile, initial jobless claims dropped to 233,000. They were expected to fall to 236,000 vs. 238,000 in the previous week, per Econoday estimates.

Micron said late Wednesday that it handily beat Wall Street's targets for its fiscal third quarter. But it disappointed investors with its in-line forecast for the current quarter. Micron stock tumbled nearly 6% in morning trading.

Meanwhile, other earnings movers Thursday morning include Acuity Brands (AYI),AeroVironment (AVAV), Jefferies (JEF), Levi Strauss (LEVI) and Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA).

Acuity Brands climbed almost 3% in early trades, as AeroVironment declined more than 14%. Jefferies shares moved up 5.5%, while Levi stock plummeted almost 17%. And Walgreens stock cratered more than 22% in morning trade.

Adjust To Changing Market Conditions, With IBD's New Exposure Levels

Dow Jones Snaps Win Streak

On Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average inched higher, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbed 0.2% and 0.5%, respectively.

Investor's Business Daily's Big Picture column said, "Bulls and bears seem to be at an impasse, with neither side committing itself. For now, the market is holding up as selling in some tech leaders subsides. Yet, a narrow set of pillars is propping up stocks. Will more solid investments arrive to shore up the market?"

During Wednesday's IBD Live show, the IBD Live team discussed the current trading conditions and how investors should handle the stock market today.

Now is an important time to read The Big Picture column amid the ongoing stock market action. Also, be sure to read how to adjust to changing market conditions, with IBD's new exposure levels.

Learn How To Time The Stock Market With IBD's ETF Market Strategy

Stock Market Today:Best Stocks To Watch

Burlington Stores (BURL), Carvana (CVNA),Domino's Pizza (DPZ) and Meta Platforms (META) — plus Dow Jones components Amazon.com (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Amgen (AMGN) and Microsoft (MSFT) — are among the best companies to watch on the stock market today.

In IBD MarketSurge's "Breaking Out Today" list, Kaspi.kz (KZPI) broke out past a 136.17 buy point in a cup base Wednesday. Shares ended Wednesday just below the buy trigger.

Check out the MarketSurge "Near Pivot" list for stocks nearing buy points in bases.To find more stock ideas, checkIBD Stock ListslikeIBD 50,Big Cap 20andStocks Near A Buy Zone.

Get Real-Time Buy And Sell Alerts On Stock Market Leaders With IBD Leaderboard

Dow Jones: Amgen Breaks Out

Dow Jones stocks worth watching include biotech giant Amgen, which is trying to break out past a cup-with-handle base's 133.10 entry, according to MarketSurge pattern recognition. Amgen gained 0.8% in morning trading Thursday.

Outside the Dow Jones index, Burlington Stores is in buy range above a 232.69 cup-base entry amid recent gains. Burlington stock lost 0.6% Thursday.

Carvana is trying to break out past a 129 buy point in a cup base. Carvana stock rose 0.3% Thursday.

Pizza maker Domino's is tracing a flat base that has a 542.75 buy point, according to IBD MarketSurge. Domino's shares gained almost 1% Thursday morning.

Finally,Meta stock is just shy of a 514.01 buy point in a cup-with-handle base. Meta stock moved up 1.7% Thursday morning, topping the entry.

Find The Best Stocks To Buy And Watch With IBD Stock Screener And IBD Screen Of The Day

Stock Market Today: Companies To Watch

These are four stocks in or near buy zones in today's stock market.

Company NameSymbolCorrect Buy PointType Of Buy Point
Carvana (CVNA)129Cup base
Domino's (DPZ)542.75Flat base
Meta Platforms (META)514.01Flat base
Amazon (AMZN)191.70Flat base
Source: IBD Data As Of June 27, 2024

Join IBD Experts As They Analyze Leading Stocks In The Stock Market Today On IBD Live

Magnificent Seven Stocks: Nvidia, Tesla

Among Magnificent Seven stocks, Nvidia (NVDA) dropped 1.7%, and Tesla (TSLA) moved up 0.8% on the stock market today in morning trading.

Nvidia stock added to Tuesday's rebound, moving up 0.3% Wednesday. Shares remain sharply above a split-adjusted alternative buy point at 97.40. The artificial intelligence leader is an IBD Leaderboard stock.

Tesla stock rallied 4.8% Wednesday, closing near its highest level since early March. Shares are rebounding from their 50-day line.

Dow Jones Leaders: Amazon, Apple, Microsoft

Among Dow Jones components in the Magnificent Seven, Amazon, Apple and Microsoft traded higher after Thursday's stock market open.

Amazon is breaking out past a 191.70 buy point in a flat base following a recent rebound from the 50-day line. Amazon stock moved up 1.1% Thursday.

Apple stock rose 2% Wednesday, extending a win streak to three sessions. Shares are extended past the 5% buy range above a cup base's 199.62 buy point. Apple was up 0.6% Thursday.

Microsoft shares climbed 0.3% Wednesday, barely in buy range past a flat base's 430.82 buy point. And early Thursday the stock rose 0.6%.

Be sure to follow Scott Lehtonen on X, formerly known as Twitter, at @IBD_SLehtonen for more on growth stocks, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the stock market today.

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Spot Buy Points And Sell Signals With MarketSurge Pattern Recognition

Stocks Mixed After GDP, Jobless Claims (2024)

FAQs

How do jobless claims affect the stock market? ›

The market reaction to the jobless claims reading depends on the current business cycle and monetary/fiscal policy expectations. In general, the market reaction tends to be positive when jobless claims are lower than expected.

What is the jobless claims recession indicator? ›

Notice the relationship between recessions and the rise in weekly unemployment claims. To no surprise, the 4-week moving average begins to rise at or before the start of a recession and reaches a relative peak at the end of a recession.

What is the relationship between the unemployment rate and the stock market? ›

Using the Fisher and Phillips curve equations, we show that a high unemployment rate is followed by monetary policy action of the Federal Reserve (Fed). When the unemployment rate is high, the Fed decreases the interest rate, which in turn increases the stock market prices.

How are initial jobless claims calculated? ›

"Initial claims" refers to the government report on the number of workers applying for unemployment benefits for the first time following job loss. The report tracks emerging joblessness on a weekly basis, with releases at 8:30 a.m. EST on Thursdays for the prior week's claims activity.

Is more jobless claims good or bad? ›

It is an important leading indicator of the health of the economy. If jobless claims are growing, it signals a weakening economy. Conversely, if jobless claims are decreasing, it signals an improving economy.

Why do stocks go down when unemployment goes down? ›

The explanation for the stock market's reaction to the Employment Report is that when the unemployment rate is lower than expected, it means more people are working. If more people are working, it also means that more people are going to be spending money, and contributing to the GDP.

What is the strongest indicator of a recession? ›

GDP Contraction

It's a metric that measures a country's economic output i.e., the market value of all final goods and services produced within the country. A GDP contraction or downturn often signals an economic downturn, and many times turn into a recession.

Does unemployment go up or down in a recession? ›

With lower demand for goods and services, firms start laying off workers and at the same time refrain from raising prices. So unemployment rises and inflation falls during recessions.

Is unemployment rate bullish or bearish? ›

If the unemployment rate goes down, the economy is likely in a bull market with more jobs available to citizens and more citizens gaining income to fuel consumer spending. If the unemployment rate goes up, the reverse is likely to occur, and the economy may enter a bear market.

Why did unemployment rise after the stock market crash? ›

First, people who had money invested in the stock market lost much of their savings during the Wall Street Crash of 1929. This caused them to spend less, which created lower demand for goods and services. With businesses seeing a fall in spending, they cut back on output and employed fewer workers.

Why does a good job report hurt the stock market? ›

Slowing job growth may cause the Fed to reduce interest rates, which historically correlates with higher stock prices. On the other hand, job growth and low unemployment may spur the Fed to pump the brakes on economic growth by increasing interest rates, which typically depresses stocks.

How to interpret jobless claims? ›

Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as negative for the labor market while a low reading is seen as positive. A Continuing Jobless Claims number greater than 3 million is considered worrying.

Are unemployment claims a leading indicator? ›

The initial jobless claims have proven to be a successful leading indicator that has predicted not only the increases in the US unemployment rate during previous downturns, but also the business cycle turning points.

What is United States initial jobless claims? ›

Initial Jobless Claims measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week.

How does a jobs report affect the stock market? ›

Slowing job growth may cause the Fed to reduce interest rates, which historically correlates with higher stock prices. On the other hand, job growth and low unemployment may spur the Fed to pump the brakes on economic growth by increasing interest rates, which typically depresses stocks.

What were the effects of the stock market crash in terms of production and unemployment? ›

In the United States, where the Depression was generally worst, industrial production between 1929 and 1933 fell by nearly 47 percent, gross domestic product (GDP) declined by 30 percent, and unemployment reached more than 20 percent.

How does inflation affect the stock market? ›

Rising costs and uncertain revenue growth can take a toll on corporate profit margins, and stock prices can fall in response. On a broader scale, high inflation creates unknowns about future interest rates. That uncertainty often contributes to market volatility.

How does unemployment affect the economy? ›

Unemployed individuals not only lose income but also face challenges to their physical and mental health. There are societal costs of high unemployment. Governmental costs go beyond the payment of benefits and include the loss of the production of workers which reduces the gross domestic product (GDP).

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